Wednesday, 18 February 2015

Abundance and abundance change in the World's parrot

Posted by Stuart Marsden & Kay Royle

A review paper, to appear in the April issue of Ibis examines natural abundance in the world’s 350 or so species of parrot, and how this abundance changes in human-altered habitats. 

The review was started several years ago when Kay was a second year undergraduate student at MMU. Helping lecturers with their research is an excellent way for students to get involved in science and publish papers while still studying – it is also good for us lecturers as it is a good opportunity to get someone to do the donkey work, for which we do not really have the time. Kay is currently finishing her Masters project on vocalisations in Sylvia warblers with Selvino de Kort at MMU.

Mixed flush at Peruvian Colpa (Photo: Alan Lee)

The aims of the review were threefold

1. To gauge how much data there are on abundance in the world’s parrots, what methods have been used in their study, and where the main gaps in knowledge are.

2. To identify if there are commonalities in abundance across parrot species – are related species likely to be similarly common?

3. To look for generalities in abundance changes when primary forest is converted to other land uses such as plantations, and small-scale agriculture.  

Little Corellas in Queensland (Photo: Stu)

A major job was finding publications and reports containing suitable data – this was done through exhaustive searches on Web of Knowledge and other on-line databases. Particularly useful was the Parrot Literature library of the newly formed Parrot Researchers Group initiated by Juan Masello. In all, we found 74 papers/reports containing abundance estimates. 

Plum-headed Parakeet (Photo: Paul Donald)

Density estimates were found for just 25% of 355 parrot species. This is a frighteningly small proportion, especially when one considers that parrots are among the better known groups of birds in the world. Even more alarming is that Threatened species were no more likely to have a density estimate than non-threatened species, and were less likely to have estimates of abundance change.
The methods of choice for abundance estimation in parrots is distance sampling, either from point counts or line transects (84% of all estimates) while spot-mapping accounted for around 8% of estimates.

The wonderful Palm Cockatoo (Photo: Peter Odekerken)

There was a ‘phylogenetic signature’ on parrot abundance – in other words, species within the same genus do tend to have more similar densities than other less-related species. Very importantly, parrot abundances are generally higher within protected areas than outside them - it is unclear whether the latter effect stems from habitat protection, a reduction in poaching or both, but protected areas appear to be beneficial for parrots.

Chestnut-fronted Macaws (Photo: Alan Lee)
Responses of parrots to habitat change were highly variable, with natural variation in parrot abundance across different primary forests as great as that between primary forest and human-altered forests. Conversion of forests to monocultural plantations like oil palm and Eucalyptus are almost certainly bad for parrots, but parrots often actually become commoner as forest is converted to small-scale agriculture.

Timneh Parrots (Photo: Nat Annorbah)
The speed at which environmental change is affecting the world’s parrots far outstrips that of our current capacity to track their abundance and we assess the likely scale of data deficiency in this and other bird groups. For example,For example, Scarlet Macaw Ara macao has an extent of occurrence well in excess of 5 million sq km and has just four density estimates from a single study. In the paper, we discuss developments in survey methods such as distance sampling, occupancy modelling and species distribution modelling which may help us bridge this data gap.

You can read an accepted version of the paper here.

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