Posted by Matt Geary
Species distribution modelling has become an invaluable tool in conservation science over the past decade. It has been widely used to delimit species' ranges, identify potential survey areas and predict future range-shifts due to climate change. Species distribution models have also been used to identify suitable habitat features for focal species and to suggest future management actions. In this paper, published in the latest issue of Ibis, we extended these ideas using multi-scaled models to 'design' landscapes for a species with complex habitat requirements, the black grouse.
Species distribution modelling has become an invaluable tool in conservation science over the past decade. It has been widely used to delimit species' ranges, identify potential survey areas and predict future range-shifts due to climate change. Species distribution models have also been used to identify suitable habitat features for focal species and to suggest future management actions. In this paper, published in the latest issue of Ibis, we extended these ideas using multi-scaled models to 'design' landscapes for a species with complex habitat requirements, the black grouse.
Black grouse Tetrao tetrix is a
medium-sized gamebird which has experienced serious population declines across
western Europe over the last 100 years. In Britain populations are thought to
have been negatively affected by land-use changes in the uplands, particularly
canopy-closure in commercial plantation forests and increases in grazing
pressure. Black grouse is a bird of the forest-edge and requires a habitat
mosaic consisting of woodland, moorland, scrub and upland bog among other
habitat types. Because of these complex requirements it can be difficult to
assess habitat combinations for black grouse, never mind isolate one particular
habitat mix.
Male black grouse in snow. Photo: Steve Garvie |
Black grouse are relatively faithful to territories across years and compete for mates at traditional, communal display sites, within these territories, each spring. We used records of these territories (kindly provided by the volunteers at the Perthshire Black Grouse Study Group) along with habitat data from satellite imagery to fit species distribution models for black grouse within our study area in Perthshire, Scotland. We used MaxEnt to fit the models and performed the modelling at six radii around lek sites (between 0.2 and 3 km). We tried to identify habitat features which were associated with a high relative suitability for black grouse at each of these scales.
With this information we could start
to show how habitat features in different parts of black grouse territories
could contribute to the overall suitability of the landscape for black grouse.
As you might expect, different habitat types were suitable at different
proportions in different parts of our 'ideal' territory. Close to display
sites, large proportions of several individual habitat types or varied habitat
mixtures could all result in high relative suitability for black grouse. One
habitat type in particular, though, was always detrimental at small distances
from the lek. Closed canopy forestry in these locations reduced the suitability
for black grouse, most probably because this sort of forestry would strongly
reduce the visibility of the lek site. Dense commercial forests are very
difficult for black grouse to move through and where these forests have hard
edges they prove difficult to use as a refuge from predators. These factors
would all be detrimental close to a display site.
Caledonian pine forest in North Scotland.
Open canopy forestry with a rich understorey
At larger distances from the lek,
however, larger proportions of forestry become acceptable. We also found that,
while closed-canopy forestry might not be suitable close to the lek, at
moderate distance a relatively large amount of open-canopy forestry, such as
native woodland, would be less damaging. We also identified more than one
habitat combination which could result in large or growing black grouse leks. Through use of multi-scaled models, we were
able to consider a range of habitat mosaics which have the potential to be
beneficial for this species. We
believe that the messages from this study translate well across bird species. Combining
landscape-scale conservation, translated into policy for example, with
fine-scale habitat management can benefit not only individual groups but
contiguous populations of species and ensure their survival into the future.
Matt Geary finished his PhD at MMU last
year. He used a range of modelling methods to assess the long-term viability of
black grouse populations in the face of changes to the Scottish uplands. The PhD was funded by Manchester Metropolitan University and the World PheasantAssociation. Matt is now a
lecturer in Conservation Biology and Animal Behaviour at the University of
Chester. Contact him at M.Geary@Chester.ac.uk. More information
about his research is at http://mattgeary.github.com.
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